000
WHXX01 KMIA 210631
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0631 UTC MON OCT 21 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND (EP172013) 20131021 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131021  0600   131021  1800   131022  0600   131022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.0N 102.2W   16.4N 102.3W   16.5N 102.0W   16.6N 102.2W
BAMD    16.0N 102.2W   16.7N 102.2W   17.2N 102.0W   17.6N 101.9W
BAMM    16.0N 102.2W   16.2N 102.4W   16.3N 102.5W   16.2N 102.8W
LBAR    16.0N 102.2W   17.0N 101.8W   18.4N 101.5W   20.1N 100.8W
SHIP        95KTS         104KTS          99KTS          91KTS
DSHP        95KTS         104KTS          99KTS          91KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131023  0600   131024  0600   131025  0600   131026  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.3N 102.7W   16.0N 105.4W   15.6N 109.7W   14.8N 115.2W
BAMD    17.7N 101.9W   17.4N 103.1W   17.6N 105.8W   17.9N 108.7W
BAMM    15.8N 103.3W   14.9N 105.7W   14.5N 109.1W   13.8N 113.5W
LBAR    21.7N  99.7W   26.6N  95.8W   31.1N  86.4W    0.0N   0.0W
SHIP        82KTS          70KTS          64KTS          59KTS
DSHP        82KTS          70KTS          64KTS          59KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.0N LONCUR = 102.2W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  15.2N LONM12 = 101.8W DIRM12 = 341DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  14.2N LONM24 = 101.0W
WNDCUR =   95KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   65KT
CENPRS =  967MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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