000
WTNT80 EGRR 200600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.10.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 100.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2013  13.3N 100.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.10.2013  14.0N 101.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2013  15.4N 102.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.10.2013  15.7N 103.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2013  15.3N 103.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2013  15.7N 103.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.10.2013  15.5N 103.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2013  15.6N 104.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2013  15.1N 105.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2013  15.1N 106.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  15.0N 107.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2013  14.4N 108.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2013  13.8N 109.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.2N  95.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2013  10.9N  96.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 26.10.2013  11.2N  97.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 200458