000
WTNT80 EGRR 190600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.10.2013

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.3N 100.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.10.2013  14.3N 100.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.10.2013  14.7N 101.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2013  15.2N 102.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.10.2013  15.3N 101.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2013  15.3N 101.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.10.2013  15.1N 101.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2013  15.3N 102.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2013  15.0N 102.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2013  15.0N 104.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  14.9N 106.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 34.7N  72.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.10.2013  34.7N  72.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.10.2013  36.9N  67.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2013  39.6N  63.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2013  44.1N  59.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2013  47.6N  59.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  53.9N  54.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190446