000 WHXX01 KMIA 150043 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0043 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE (EP152013) 20131015 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 131015 0000 131015 1200 131016 0000 131016 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 24.6N 112.8W 25.9N 112.1W 27.0N 110.6W 27.8N 108.5W BAMD 24.6N 112.8W 27.6N 110.1W 31.1N 104.2W 34.7N 94.9W BAMM 24.6N 112.8W 26.8N 111.2W 28.9N 107.5W 31.4N 102.6W LBAR 24.6N 112.8W 26.9N 110.9W 29.8N 107.3W 33.3N 101.0W SHIP 40KTS 29KTS 15KTS 0KTS DSHP 40KTS 29KTS 18KTS 0KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 131017 0000 131018 0000 131019 0000 131020 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 28.2N 106.3W 29.3N 103.4W 31.1N 100.6W 31.0N 98.5W BAMD 37.3N 82.3W 40.4N 62.0W 40.4N 43.9W 35.7N 27.0W BAMM 34.1N 95.7W 39.8N 78.8W 44.9N 61.8W 47.4N 45.0W LBAR 36.0N 92.5W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 24.6N LONCUR = 112.8W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 22.4N LONM12 = 113.8W DIRM12 = 10DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 20.0N LONM24 = 113.4W WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 1001MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN