000
WTNT80 EGRR 130600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.10.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 110.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2013  16.4N 110.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2013  17.8N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2013  19.4N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  21.6N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  23.3N 112.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2013  25.1N 110.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.1N 116.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.10.2013  13.1N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2013  13.4N 115.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  14.5N 114.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  15.6N 114.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2013  15.9N 114.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.5N  49.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2013  15.5N  49.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  16.2N  50.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2013  16.8N  51.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2013  18.0N  52.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2013  17.8N  53.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2013  18.3N  55.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2013  18.8N  56.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2013  19.3N  58.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2013  19.5N  59.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2013  20.5N  61.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130525