000 WTNT80 EGRR 120600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2013 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.8N 39.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2013 11.8N 39.4W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2013 12.4N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2013 12.8N 43.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2013 13.3N 45.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2013 13.9N 47.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2013 14.8N 48.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2013 15.7N 49.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2013 16.6N 50.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2013 17.1N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2013 17.7N 52.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2013 18.3N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2013 19.0N 54.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2013 19.5N 55.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 15.7N 109.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2013 15.7N 109.7W WEAK 12UTC 13.10.2013 16.7N 111.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2013 17.8N 111.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2013 20.7N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2013 22.5N 111.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2013 25.3N 110.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2013 25.9N 110.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2013 26.2N 109.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120425