000
WHXX01 KMIA 090619
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0619 UTC WED OCT 9 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP942013) 20131009 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131009  0600   131009  1800   131010  0600   131010  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.1N  98.5W   12.8N 100.0W   13.6N 101.2W   14.3N 102.3W
BAMD    12.1N  98.5W   12.8N  99.8W   13.4N 101.1W   13.9N 102.4W
BAMM    12.1N  98.5W   12.9N  99.7W   13.7N 100.5W   14.3N 101.5W
LBAR    12.1N  98.5W   12.8N  99.8W   13.6N 101.5W   14.3N 103.4W
SHIP        20KTS          25KTS          33KTS          41KTS
DSHP        20KTS          25KTS          33KTS          41KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131011  0600   131012  0600   131013  0600   131014  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 103.3W   16.2N 106.0W   18.3N 109.5W   20.8N 112.6W
BAMD    14.3N 103.9W   15.8N 107.4W   19.4N 110.8W   25.6N 110.0W
BAMM    14.7N 102.7W   16.2N 105.9W   19.2N 110.0W   23.6N 111.6W
LBAR    15.0N 105.2W   16.0N 109.4W   19.0N 112.6W   23.1N 113.1W
SHIP        50KTS          64KTS          62KTS          53KTS
DSHP        50KTS          64KTS          62KTS          53KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.1N LONCUR =  98.5W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  11.6N LONM12 =  97.3W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  10.8N LONM24 =  95.7W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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