000
WTNT80 EGRR 090600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 127.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.10.2013  16.5N 127.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.10.2013  16.7N 128.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2013  16.6N 128.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2013  16.0N 128.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 10.9N  34.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2013  10.9N  35.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2013  12.2N  36.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2013  11.9N  39.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2013  12.4N  41.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2013  12.9N  43.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2013  13.7N  45.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2013  14.9N  47.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  15.9N  49.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.10.2013  17.2N  51.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.7N 106.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2013  14.7N 106.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2013  16.6N 107.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2013  18.3N 108.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2013  20.3N 107.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.10.2013  22.6N 107.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2013  23.7N 107.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 090451