000
WHXX01 KMIA 081914
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1914 UTC TUE OCT 8 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP942013) 20131008 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131008  1800   131009  0600   131009  1800   131010  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.2N  97.8W   11.7N  99.2W   12.2N 100.6W   12.9N 101.8W
BAMD    11.2N  97.8W   11.7N  99.2W   12.3N 100.6W   12.7N 101.9W
BAMM    11.2N  97.8W   11.9N  99.1W   12.5N 100.1W   13.1N 100.8W
LBAR    11.2N  97.8W   11.9N  99.1W   12.8N 100.7W   13.6N 102.6W
SHIP        20KTS          25KTS          33KTS          44KTS
DSHP        20KTS          25KTS          33KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131010  1800   131011  1800   131012  1800   131013  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.4N 102.8W   14.0N 104.8W   15.5N 107.3W   17.8N 110.0W
BAMD    13.1N 103.3W   13.8N 106.5W   15.5N 109.8W   18.5N 112.1W
BAMM    13.5N 101.5W   14.2N 103.9W   16.0N 107.1W   19.2N 110.2W
LBAR    14.4N 104.5W   16.3N 108.5W   18.0N 111.0W   21.8N 111.6W
SHIP        53KTS          66KTS          70KTS          67KTS
DSHP        53KTS          66KTS          70KTS          67KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.2N LONCUR =  97.8W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  10.6N LONM12 =  96.2W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =   9.8N LONM24 =  94.3W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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