000 WTNT80 EGRR 061800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2013 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ANALYSED POSITION : 27.7N 89.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122013 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2013 27.7N 89.3W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2013 29.1N 87.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2013 29.4N 85.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2013 29.7N 83.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.8N 38.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2013 14.8N 39.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2013 15.9N 41.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2013 16.9N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2013 18.3N 47.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2013 19.7N 49.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.0N 106.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2013 14.0N 106.8W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2013 13.9N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.9N 108.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2013 13.9N 108.8W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061634