000
WTNT80 EGRR 060600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2013

        TROPICAL STORM KAREN      ANALYSED POSITION : 28.0N  92.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2013  28.0N  92.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 14.2N  39.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.10.2013  14.2N  39.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.10.2013  15.3N  42.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2013  16.6N  44.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2013  18.2N  46.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 30.8N  77.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2013  31.0N  77.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2013  31.4N  76.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060428