000
WHXX01 KWBC 051802
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1802 UTC SAT OCT 5 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131005 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131005  1800   131006  0600   131006  1800   131007  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.9N  91.8W   29.0N  92.0W   29.9N  90.4W   30.1N  87.7W
BAMD    27.9N  91.8W   29.6N  90.6W   32.6N  87.9W   37.3N  84.6W
BAMM    27.9N  91.8W   29.2N  91.3W   31.2N  89.2W   34.1N  85.4W
LBAR    27.9N  91.8W   29.2N  90.9W   30.8N  89.0W   32.7N  87.0W
SHIP        35KTS          36KTS          38KTS          38KTS
DSHP        35KTS          36KTS          34KTS          37KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131007  1800   131008  1800   131009  1800   131010  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    30.5N  84.6W   31.0N  82.2W   31.4N  82.9W   31.5N  84.6W
BAMD    42.1N  81.9W   49.5N  68.8W   56.4N  53.4W   60.3N  48.6W
BAMM    37.8N  81.2W   44.9N  68.3W   48.7N  49.9W   52.3N  40.4W
LBAR    34.5N  84.6W   37.9N  78.9W   38.3N  74.1W   37.2N  71.9W
SHIP        37KTS          27KTS          17KTS           0KTS
DSHP        29KTS          28KTS          18KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  27.9N LONCUR =  91.8W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  26.6N LONM12 =  91.1W DIRM12 = 326DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  25.8N LONM24 =  90.2W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =   90NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  100NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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