000
WHXX01 KWBC 040647
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0647 UTC FRI OCT 4 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131004 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131004  0600   131004  1800   131005  0600   131005  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.5N  89.5W   26.2N  90.9W   27.3N  92.1W   28.3N  93.0W
BAMD    24.5N  89.5W   26.0N  89.8W   27.2N  89.8W   28.3N  89.8W
BAMM    24.5N  89.5W   25.7N  90.5W   26.6N  91.1W   27.3N  91.6W
LBAR    24.5N  89.5W   25.8N  90.0W   27.1N  90.3W   28.3N  90.4W
SHIP        55KTS          52KTS          50KTS          52KTS
DSHP        55KTS          52KTS          50KTS          52KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131006  0600   131007  0600   131008  0600   131009  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    28.7N  93.3W   27.0N  90.0W   26.2N  85.5W   27.3N  83.5W
BAMD    29.9N  88.9W   37.8N  81.9W   49.2N  67.1W   59.3N  57.0W
BAMM    28.1N  91.0W   30.8N  85.4W   34.2N  79.9W   35.8N  78.4W
LBAR    29.7N  89.8W   34.2N  85.3W   37.9N  75.7W   40.2N  69.9W
SHIP        53KTS          49KTS          35KTS          24KTS
DSHP        53KTS          31KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  24.5N LONCUR =  89.5W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  22.9N LONM12 =  88.3W DIRM12 = 327DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  21.3N LONM24 =  86.9W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  110NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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