000
WTNT80 EGRR 040600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.10.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY      ANALYSED POSITION : 32.1N  38.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2013  32.1N  38.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.10.2013  33.3N  35.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KAREN      ANALYSED POSITION : 24.0N  88.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2013  24.0N  88.8W   INTENSE
 12UTC 04.10.2013  25.2N  90.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.10.2013  26.7N  90.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2013  28.1N  91.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2013  29.3N  91.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2013  30.7N  90.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2013  33.2N  87.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040521