000 WHXX01 KWBC 040011 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0011 UTC FRI OCT 4 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131004 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 131004 0000 131004 1200 131005 0000 131005 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.8N 88.8W 25.5N 90.4W 27.0N 91.5W 28.2N 92.5W BAMD 23.8N 88.8W 25.4N 89.3W 26.7N 89.4W 27.9N 89.4W BAMM 23.8N 88.8W 25.1N 90.0W 26.2N 90.9W 27.0N 91.4W LBAR 23.8N 88.8W 25.4N 89.7W 27.0N 90.3W 28.4N 90.3W SHIP 55KTS 53KTS 52KTS 51KTS DSHP 55KTS 53KTS 52KTS 51KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 131006 0000 131007 0000 131008 0000 131009 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 28.9N 92.9W 28.1N 90.4W 28.5N 84.7W 31.6N 80.0W BAMD 29.2N 89.0W 35.5N 84.0W 44.1N 69.8W 49.9N 43.5W BAMM 27.7N 91.3W 30.0N 86.8W 34.6N 83.2W 37.2N 81.4W LBAR 30.0N 89.9W 33.8N 85.6W 38.1N 76.6W 37.6N 68.3W SHIP 54KTS 52KTS 35KTS 20KTS DSHP 54KTS 32KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 23.8N LONCUR = 88.8W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR = 10KT LATM12 = 22.0N LONM12 = 87.6W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 20.3N LONM24 = 86.1W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 999MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN