000
WHXX01 KWBC 031830
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1830 UTC THU OCT 3 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131003 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131003  1800   131004  0600   131004  1800   131005  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.9N  88.3W   24.5N  89.8W   26.2N  90.9W   27.3N  91.8W
BAMD    22.9N  88.3W   24.6N  89.1W   26.1N  89.4W   27.5N  89.5W
BAMM    22.9N  88.3W   24.3N  89.6W   25.5N  90.5W   26.4N  90.9W
LBAR    22.9N  88.3W   24.5N  89.2W   26.1N  90.0W   27.5N  90.2W
SHIP        55KTS          57KTS          59KTS          57KTS
DSHP        55KTS          57KTS          59KTS          57KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131005  1800   131006  1800   131007  1800   131008  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    28.1N  92.0W   28.1N  89.4W   28.5N  84.0W   31.0N  80.3W
BAMD    28.7N  89.3W   34.0N  85.1W   43.1N  73.4W   50.2N  46.9W
BAMM    27.0N  90.9W   28.6N  86.6W   33.5N  80.9W   39.4N  75.7W
LBAR    28.8N  90.0W   31.7N  86.9W   33.4N  81.2W   34.1N  75.1W
SHIP        61KTS          60KTS          37KTS          19KTS
DSHP        61KTS          40KTS          28KTS          24KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  22.9N LONCUR =  88.3W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  21.3N LONM12 =  86.9W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  19.5N LONM24 =  85.8W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  110NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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