000
WHXX01 KWBC 031322
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1322 UTC THU OCT 3 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131003 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131003  1200   131004  0000   131004  1200   131005  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.0N  87.6W   23.7N  89.1W   25.4N  90.4W   26.7N  91.2W
BAMD    22.0N  87.6W   23.8N  88.6W   25.4N  89.1W   26.9N  89.2W
BAMM    22.0N  87.6W   23.6N  88.9W   24.9N  89.7W   26.1N  90.2W
LBAR    22.0N  87.6W   23.7N  88.6W   25.5N  89.5W   27.0N  89.8W
SHIP        50KTS          57KTS          60KTS          62KTS
DSHP        50KTS          57KTS          60KTS          62KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131005  1200   131006  1200   131007  1200   131008  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.9N  91.9W   28.9N  91.5W   29.2N  85.7W   31.1N  80.7W
BAMD    28.0N  89.0W   31.6N  87.1W   41.2N  79.7W   52.1N  60.0W
BAMM    27.0N  90.4W   28.7N  88.6W   33.1N  82.7W   38.4N  76.0W
LBAR    28.1N  89.6W   30.2N  87.6W   32.9N  83.0W   35.2N  76.3W
SHIP        59KTS          61KTS          46KTS          30KTS
DSHP        59KTS          44KTS          28KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  22.0N LONCUR =  87.6W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  20.3N LONM12 =  86.1W DIRM12 = 330DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  18.7N LONM24 =  85.4W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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