000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.09.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11L        ANALYSED POSITION : 26.8N  47.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.09.2013  26.8N  47.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.09.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 35.7N  64.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.09.2013  35.7N  64.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.09.2013  38.0N  65.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2013  39.3N  65.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2013  40.1N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2013  40.2N  62.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2013  39.5N  59.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2013        EXTRA TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 29.2N 169.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2013  30.0N 169.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.10.2013  32.4N 173.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300523