000
WTNT80 EGRR 251800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.07.2013

        TROPICAL STORM DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N  35.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2013  15.5N  35.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.07.2013  16.2N  39.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2013  16.8N  43.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2013  17.6N  47.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2013  18.0N  52.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2013  19.3N  55.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2013  19.8N  59.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2013  20.1N  63.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2013  21.5N  66.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2013  22.0N  69.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2013  22.1N  72.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2013  22.4N  74.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2013  22.9N  77.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 125.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2013  15.7N 125.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.07.2013  15.6N 128.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2013  16.2N 132.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2013  16.8N 136.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.07.2013  17.5N 140.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2013  17.8N 144.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.07.2013  18.0N 148.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2013  17.9N 152.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :  9.7N 135.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2013   9.7N 135.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.07.2013   9.8N 135.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2013   9.9N 136.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2013  10.2N 137.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2013  12.0N 138.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 34.3N  74.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.07.2013  35.2N  73.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2013  39.2N  70.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 27.07.2013  42.6N  69.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2013  45.4N  67.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.07.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251704