000 WHXX01 KMIA 080651 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0651 UTC MON JUL 8 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130708 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130708 0600 130708 1800 130709 0600 130709 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.0N 109.1W 21.8N 110.5W 22.6N 112.0W 23.5N 113.1W BAMD 21.0N 109.1W 21.9N 110.7W 23.0N 112.5W 24.0N 114.1W BAMM 21.0N 109.1W 22.0N 110.8W 22.9N 112.4W 24.0N 114.0W LBAR 21.0N 109.1W 22.0N 110.9W 23.5N 113.0W 24.8N 115.1W SHIP 45KTS 38KTS 29KTS 18KTS DSHP 45KTS 38KTS 29KTS 18KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130710 0600 130711 0600 130712 0600 130713 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 24.0N 113.8W 24.6N 114.9W 25.3N 115.5W 25.9N 116.9W BAMD 24.9N 115.4W 26.3N 117.5W 27.9N 118.5W 29.9N 119.6W BAMM 24.6N 115.2W 25.7N 117.1W 26.7N 117.8W 27.8N 118.9W LBAR 26.2N 116.6W 28.5N 118.9W 31.2N 119.0W 33.7N 116.9W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.0N LONCUR = 109.1W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 20.0N LONM12 = 107.7W DIRM12 = 300DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 19.1N LONM24 = 106.1W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 55KT CENPRS = 998MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 30NM $$ NNNN