000 WHXX01 KMIA 080044 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0044 UTC MON JUL 8 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130708 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130708 0000 130708 1200 130709 0000 130709 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.5N 108.4W 21.3N 110.0W 22.1N 111.6W 23.1N 113.0W BAMD 20.5N 108.4W 21.3N 110.0W 22.4N 111.9W 23.6N 113.7W BAMM 20.5N 108.4W 21.3N 110.1W 22.2N 112.0W 23.2N 113.9W SHIP 50KTS 42KTS 33KTS 21KTS DSHP 50KTS 42KTS 33KTS 21KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130710 0000 130711 0000 130712 0000 130713 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.9N 114.1W 24.7N 115.7W 25.2N 116.5W 25.7N 117.1W BAMD 24.7N 115.3W 26.2N 118.1W 27.9N 119.3W 30.0N 119.8W BAMM 24.0N 115.5W 24.8N 117.7W 25.2N 118.1W 25.4N 118.1W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.5N LONCUR = 108.4W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 19.7N LONM12 = 106.9W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 18.5N LONM24 = 105.3W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 65KT CENPRS = 996MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 50NM $$ NNNN