000 WHXX01 KMIA 070644 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0644 UTC SUN JUL 7 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130707 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130707 0600 130707 1800 130708 0600 130708 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.9N 106.2W 19.9N 107.3W 20.8N 108.7W 21.8N 110.4W BAMD 18.9N 106.2W 19.8N 107.5W 20.7N 109.0W 21.8N 110.9W BAMM 18.9N 106.2W 20.1N 107.4W 21.1N 108.9W 22.1N 110.8W LBAR 18.9N 106.2W 20.1N 107.8W 21.7N 110.0W 23.2N 112.3W SHIP 70KTS 69KTS 66KTS 60KTS DSHP 70KTS 69KTS 66KTS 60KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130709 0600 130710 0600 130711 0600 130712 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 22.6N 112.1W 23.7N 115.3W 24.0N 117.4W 24.0N 118.9W BAMD 22.8N 113.0W 24.6N 116.6W 25.6N 118.9W 26.2N 119.8W BAMM 23.0N 112.9W 24.3N 116.6W 24.8N 118.9W 24.8N 119.6W LBAR 24.9N 114.4W 27.6N 117.8W 30.0N 119.9W 33.7N 119.3W SHIP 49KTS 24KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 49KTS 24KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 18.9N LONCUR = 106.2W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 17.8N LONM12 = 104.7W DIRM12 = 307DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 16.9N LONM24 = 103.3W WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 70KT CENPRS = 984MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN