000 WHXX01 KMIA 061835 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1835 UTC SAT JUL 6 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130706 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130706 1800 130707 0600 130707 1800 130708 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.8N 104.7W 18.9N 105.5W 19.9N 106.6W 20.9N 108.1W BAMD 17.8N 104.7W 18.8N 106.0W 19.7N 107.3W 20.5N 109.1W BAMM 17.8N 104.7W 18.9N 106.0W 19.9N 107.5W 20.7N 109.3W LBAR 17.8N 104.7W 18.9N 106.1W 20.5N 108.2W 22.0N 110.4W SHIP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS DSHP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130708 1800 130709 1800 130710 1800 130711 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.8N 109.8W 23.4N 113.3W 24.1N 116.0W 24.1N 117.8W BAMD 21.3N 111.3W 23.0N 115.9W 24.1N 119.5W 24.9N 121.2W BAMM 21.5N 111.5W 23.0N 116.2W 23.9N 119.8W 24.4N 121.8W LBAR 23.6N 112.7W 26.6N 116.6W 29.0N 119.1W 31.6N 119.5W SHIP 57KTS 33KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 57KTS 33KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.8N LONCUR = 104.7W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 16.9N LONM12 = 103.3W DIRM12 = 309DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 16.0N LONM24 = 102.2W WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 65KT CENPRS = 984MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 130NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN