000
WHXX01 KMIA 061251
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 UTC SAT JUL 6 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130706 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130706  1200   130707  0000   130707  1200   130708  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.5N 104.2W   18.4N 105.0W   19.4N 105.9W   20.2N 107.1W
BAMD    17.5N 104.2W   18.4N 105.3W   19.5N 106.5W   20.4N 107.9W
BAMM    17.5N 104.2W   18.5N 105.2W   19.6N 106.1W   20.6N 107.3W
LBAR    17.5N 104.2W   18.6N 105.7W   20.1N 107.6W   21.6N 109.9W
SHIP        65KTS          68KTS          69KTS          68KTS
DSHP        65KTS          68KTS          69KTS          68KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130708  1200   130709  1200   130710  1200   130711  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.0N 108.5W   22.5N 111.6W   23.2N 114.2W   23.6N 115.8W
BAMD    21.2N 109.7W   22.7N 113.9W   23.4N 117.1W   23.7N 118.6W
BAMM    21.4N 109.0W   22.6N 112.8W   23.3N 116.0W   23.4N 117.2W
LBAR    23.3N 112.2W   26.6N 116.0W   29.2N 118.3W   31.6N 118.2W
SHIP        62KTS          41KTS          21KTS           0KTS
DSHP        62KTS          41KTS          21KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.5N LONCUR = 104.2W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  16.4N LONM12 = 102.7W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  15.5N LONM24 = 101.6W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   60KT
CENPRS =  987MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  130NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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