000
WHXX01 KMIA 060651
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0651 UTC SAT JUL 6 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130706 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130706  0600   130706  1800   130707  0600   130707  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.9N 103.2W   17.9N 104.1W   18.8N 105.1W   19.8N 106.3W
BAMD    16.9N 103.2W   17.9N 104.4W   18.9N 105.6W   19.9N 107.1W
BAMM    16.9N 103.2W   18.0N 104.3W   19.0N 105.5W   20.2N 106.9W
LBAR    16.9N 103.2W   18.0N 104.3W   19.5N 106.3W   21.0N 108.5W
SHIP        60KTS          65KTS          65KTS          65KTS
DSHP        60KTS          65KTS          65KTS          65KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130708  0600   130709  0600   130710  0600   130711  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.7N 107.9W   22.4N 111.6W   23.1N 114.9W   23.1N 117.4W
BAMD    20.8N 108.9W   22.3N 113.7W   23.7N 118.3W   24.4N 121.4W
BAMM    21.0N 108.5W   22.5N 113.1W   23.6N 117.5W   23.9N 120.5W
LBAR    22.8N 110.8W   26.1N 114.6W   28.3N 117.2W   30.1N 119.0W
SHIP        60KTS          41KTS          19KTS           0KTS
DSHP        60KTS          41KTS          19KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.9N LONCUR = 103.2W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  15.9N LONM12 = 102.2W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 = 100.7W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  991MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  145NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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