000
WHXX01 KMIA 051803
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1803 UTC FRI JUL 5 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130705 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130705  1800   130706  0600   130706  1800   130707  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.0N 102.5W   17.2N 103.3W   18.0N 104.3W   18.9N 105.3W
BAMD    16.0N 102.5W   16.9N 103.8W   17.6N 105.3W   18.5N 106.9W
BAMM    16.0N 102.5W   16.9N 103.8W   17.7N 105.2W   18.5N 106.7W
LBAR    16.0N 102.5W   17.1N 103.9W   18.3N 106.0W   19.7N 108.3W
SHIP        55KTS          65KTS          70KTS          68KTS
DSHP        55KTS          65KTS          70KTS          68KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130707  1800   130708  1800   130709  1800   130710  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.9N 106.8W   21.8N 110.5W   23.2N 114.4W   23.6N 117.3W
BAMD    19.5N 108.9W   21.1N 113.7W   22.6N 119.2W   23.6N 123.3W
BAMM    19.5N 108.5W   21.2N 113.2W   22.7N 118.6W   23.6N 122.7W
LBAR    21.1N 110.8W   24.5N 115.2W   27.1N 118.6W   28.7N 120.5W
SHIP        65KTS          50KTS          30KTS           0KTS
DSHP        65KTS          50KTS          30KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.0N LONCUR = 102.5W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 100.7W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  13.8N LONM24 =  98.9W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS =  996MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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