000
WHXX01 KMIA 051238
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1238 UTC FRI JUL 5 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130705 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130705  1200   130706  0000   130706  1200   130707  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.5N 101.6W   16.5N 102.8W   17.3N 104.1W   18.3N 105.6W
BAMD    15.5N 101.6W   16.5N 103.0W   17.3N 104.4W   18.1N 106.1W
BAMM    15.5N 101.6W   16.6N 102.9W   17.5N 104.3W   18.4N 106.1W
LBAR    15.5N 101.6W   16.6N 103.2W   17.9N 105.2W   19.2N 107.6W
SHIP        50KTS          62KTS          72KTS          79KTS
DSHP        50KTS          62KTS          72KTS          79KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130707  1200   130708  1200   130709  1200   130710  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.3N 107.5W   21.1N 112.4W   22.7N 117.8W   23.7N 122.6W
BAMD    18.9N 108.3W   20.5N 113.8W   22.0N 120.3W   22.7N 125.8W
BAMM    19.3N 108.2W   21.0N 113.8W   22.3N 120.5W   22.8N 126.3W
LBAR    20.6N 110.1W   24.0N 114.6W   26.7N 118.2W   28.1N 120.2W
SHIP        80KTS          71KTS          50KTS          30KTS
DSHP        80KTS          71KTS          50KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.5N LONCUR = 101.6W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  14.5N LONM12 =  99.7W DIRM12 = 302DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  13.2N LONM24 =  98.2W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS =  998MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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