000 WHXX01 KMIA 050705 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0705 UTC FRI JUL 5 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130705 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130705 0600 130705 1800 130706 0600 130706 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.9N 100.8W 15.9N 101.9W 16.9N 103.0W 17.7N 104.3W BAMD 14.9N 100.8W 15.8N 102.1W 16.6N 103.3W 17.3N 104.8W BAMM 14.9N 100.8W 15.9N 102.2W 16.9N 103.5W 17.6N 105.0W LBAR 14.9N 100.8W 16.0N 102.4W 17.3N 104.4W 18.5N 106.7W SHIP 40KTS 50KTS 58KTS 66KTS DSHP 40KTS 50KTS 58KTS 66KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130707 0600 130708 0600 130709 0600 130710 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.7N 105.8W 20.4N 109.9W 21.7N 114.7W 22.7N 119.4W BAMD 18.0N 106.7W 19.3N 111.5W 20.4N 118.0W 21.1N 124.6W BAMM 18.4N 106.9W 19.8N 111.5W 20.9N 117.6W 21.6N 123.8W LBAR 19.9N 109.2W 23.2N 114.1W 25.8N 118.1W 27.7N 120.7W SHIP 70KTS 67KTS 53KTS 35KTS DSHP 70KTS 67KTS 53KTS 35KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.9N LONCUR = 100.8W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 13.9N LONM12 = 98.8W DIRM12 = 314DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 12.5N LONM24 = 97.6W WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN