000
WTNT80 EGRR 021800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.07.2013

        TROPICAL STORM DALILA     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 106.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2013  18.0N 106.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 03.07.2013  18.4N 107.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2013  18.0N 107.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2013  17.0N 107.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.7N  97.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2013  11.8N  98.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2013  12.9N  99.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2013  14.2N 100.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2013  15.1N 101.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2013  16.1N 102.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.07.2013  17.2N 104.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2013  17.9N 106.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2013  18.3N 107.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.07.2013  19.1N 109.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021731