000 WHXX01 KMIA 190541 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0541 UTC SUN MAY 19 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130519 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130519 0600 130519 1800 130520 0600 130520 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.3N 118.8W 13.0N 121.1W 13.4N 123.1W 13.5N 124.8W BAMD 12.3N 118.8W 13.6N 119.6W 15.0N 120.2W 16.0N 120.7W BAMM 12.3N 118.8W 13.0N 120.4W 13.6N 121.8W 14.0N 123.1W LBAR 12.3N 118.8W 13.0N 120.1W 14.2N 121.6W 15.3N 122.9W SHIP 30KTS 27KTS 22KTS 16KTS DSHP 30KTS 27KTS 22KTS 16KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130521 0600 130522 0600 130523 0600 130524 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.3N 126.4W 12.8N 129.2W 12.9N 131.7W 13.7N 134.0W BAMD 16.5N 121.0W 16.5N 122.0W 16.4N 123.1W 16.3N 124.3W BAMM 14.2N 124.2W 14.5N 126.9W 15.0N 129.7W 15.6N 132.4W LBAR 16.6N 124.3W 18.5N 126.0W 19.9N 125.9W 22.0N 123.3W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.3N LONCUR = 118.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 12.0N LONM12 = 117.3W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 115.3W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN