000
WHXX01 KMIA 181834
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1834 UTC SAT MAY 18 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130518 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130518  1800   130519  0600   130519  1800   130520  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N 117.4W   12.3N 119.5W   12.7N 121.6W   13.0N 123.6W
BAMD    11.8N 117.4W   13.1N 118.4W   14.4N 119.1W   15.8N 119.7W
BAMM    11.8N 117.4W   12.4N 119.0W   13.1N 120.6W   13.7N 122.1W
LBAR    11.8N 117.4W   12.7N 118.9W   13.5N 120.7W   14.6N 122.4W
SHIP        30KTS          26KTS          19KTS           0KTS
DSHP        30KTS          26KTS          19KTS           0KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130520  1800   130521  1800   130522  1800   130523  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.1N 125.3W   12.9N 128.6W   12.7N 131.7W   13.2N 134.6W
BAMD    16.9N 120.0W   17.3N 120.4W   16.9N 121.3W   16.3N 121.9W
BAMM    14.0N 123.3W   14.3N 125.9W   14.4N 128.8W   14.7N 131.8W
LBAR    15.6N 124.0W   17.1N 126.5W   18.5N 127.6W   19.3N 127.4W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.8N LONCUR = 117.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  11.9N LONM12 = 115.2W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  11.7N LONM24 = 113.4W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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