000
WHXX01 KMIA 181242
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1242 UTC SAT MAY 18 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130518 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130518  1200   130519  0000   130519  1200   130520  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.3N 116.2W   12.9N 118.3W   13.2N 120.5W   13.5N 122.5W
BAMD    12.3N 116.2W   13.7N 117.1W   15.4N 117.9W   17.4N 118.3W
BAMM    12.3N 116.2W   13.0N 117.7W   13.6N 119.4W   14.3N 120.9W
LBAR    12.3N 116.2W   13.4N 117.4W   14.5N 118.9W   15.7N 120.5W
SHIP        30KTS          32KTS          30KTS          24KTS
DSHP        30KTS          32KTS          30KTS          24KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130520  1200   130521  1200   130522  1200   130523  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N 124.3W   13.3N 127.5W   12.7N 130.3W   13.0N 132.8W
BAMD    18.9N 118.2W   19.9N 117.2W   19.0N 116.6W   17.9N 115.2W
BAMM    14.7N 122.1W   15.0N 124.4W   15.1N 127.3W   15.1N 130.1W
LBAR    16.6N 121.8W   18.3N 123.3W   19.6N 123.5W   20.6N 122.0W
SHIP        16KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        16KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.3N LONCUR = 116.2W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  11.9N LONM12 = 114.3W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  11.0N LONM24 = 112.4W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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