000
WHXX01 KMIA 181057
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1057 UTC SAT MAY 18 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130518 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130518  0600   130518  1800   130519  0600   130519  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.3N 115.8W   12.8N 117.7W   13.1N 119.9W   13.1N 122.0W
BAMD    12.3N 115.8W   13.7N 116.3W   15.7N 116.8W   18.0N 117.0W
BAMM    12.3N 115.8W   13.0N 117.2W   13.7N 118.8W   14.4N 120.2W
LBAR    12.3N 115.8W   13.6N 117.0W   15.1N 118.4W   16.3N 119.9W
SHIP        30KTS          29KTS          25KTS          18KTS
DSHP        30KTS          29KTS          25KTS          18KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130520  0600   130521  0600   130522  0600   130523  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.1N 123.8W   12.4N 127.0W   11.6N 129.9W   11.6N 132.7W
BAMD    20.1N 116.9W   22.0N 115.0W   21.7N 112.3W   21.5N 109.6W
BAMM    14.9N 121.4W   15.3N 123.7W   15.4N 126.3W   15.5N 129.3W
LBAR    17.5N 121.0W   19.2N 122.0W   20.5N 121.5W   21.9N 118.7W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.3N LONCUR = 115.8W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  11.7N LONM12 = 113.4W DIRM12 = 296DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  10.0N LONM24 = 111.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN