000 WHXX01 KMIA 180134 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0134 UTC SAT MAY 18 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130518 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130518 0000 130518 1200 130519 0000 130519 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.9N 114.3W 12.4N 116.1W 12.6N 118.0W 12.9N 120.2W BAMD 11.9N 114.3W 13.0N 114.8W 14.9N 115.6W 17.2N 115.9W BAMM 11.9N 114.3W 12.5N 115.7W 13.2N 117.2W 13.9N 118.6W LBAR 11.9N 114.3W 13.0N 115.6W 14.5N 117.0W 15.9N 118.4W SHIP 30KTS 29KTS 27KTS 19KTS DSHP 30KTS 29KTS 27KTS 19KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130520 0000 130521 0000 130522 0000 130523 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.1N 122.0W 13.0N 125.0W 12.7N 127.5W 12.6N 129.8W BAMD 19.7N 115.6W 23.0N 112.2W 24.4N 104.6W 26.4N 96.7W BAMM 14.6N 119.8W 15.3N 121.8W 15.6N 124.4W 15.9N 127.2W LBAR 17.2N 119.6W 19.8N 120.5W 21.3N 119.5W 22.5N 116.2W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.9N LONCUR = 114.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 11.0N LONM12 = 112.4W DIRM12 = 313DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 9.7N LONM24 = 110.2W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN