000
WHXX01 KMIA 172154
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2154 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130517 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130517  1800   130518  0600   130518  1800   130519  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.9N 113.4W   12.6N 115.0W   13.2N 116.7W   13.6N 118.6W
BAMD    11.9N 113.4W   13.2N 113.8W   14.8N 114.5W   17.2N 114.8W
BAMM    11.9N 113.4W   12.7N 114.7W   13.5N 115.9W   14.3N 117.1W
LBAR    11.9N 113.4W   13.7N 114.4W   15.6N 115.5W   17.6N 116.4W
SHIP        30KTS          28KTS          28KTS          21KTS
DSHP        30KTS          28KTS          28KTS          21KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130519  1800   130520  1800   130521  1800   130522  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N 120.6W   14.9N 123.8W   15.4N 126.6W   15.9N 129.3W
BAMD    19.7N 114.3W   23.9N 110.1W   27.4N 101.5W   30.8N  92.7W
BAMM    15.2N 118.2W   16.5N 119.9W   16.9N 122.3W   17.1N 125.4W
LBAR    19.3N 116.8W   22.3N 114.6W   24.6N 108.0W   27.3N  97.1W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.9N LONCUR = 113.4W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  10.0N LONM12 = 111.5W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =   9.3N LONM24 = 108.8W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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