000 WHXX01 KMIA 172154 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2154 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130517 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130517 1800 130518 0600 130518 1800 130519 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.9N 113.4W 12.6N 115.0W 13.2N 116.7W 13.6N 118.6W BAMD 11.9N 113.4W 13.2N 113.8W 14.8N 114.5W 17.2N 114.8W BAMM 11.9N 113.4W 12.7N 114.7W 13.5N 115.9W 14.3N 117.1W LBAR 11.9N 113.4W 13.7N 114.4W 15.6N 115.5W 17.6N 116.4W SHIP 30KTS 28KTS 28KTS 21KTS DSHP 30KTS 28KTS 28KTS 21KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130519 1800 130520 1800 130521 1800 130522 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.1N 120.6W 14.9N 123.8W 15.4N 126.6W 15.9N 129.3W BAMD 19.7N 114.3W 23.9N 110.1W 27.4N 101.5W 30.8N 92.7W BAMM 15.2N 118.2W 16.5N 119.9W 16.9N 122.3W 17.1N 125.4W LBAR 19.3N 116.8W 22.3N 114.6W 24.6N 108.0W 27.3N 97.1W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.9N LONCUR = 113.4W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 13KT LATM12 = 10.0N LONM12 = 111.5W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 9.3N LONM24 = 108.8W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN