000
WHXX01 KMIA 171929
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1929 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP702013) 20130517 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130517  1800   130518  0600   130518  1800   130519  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.0N 111.5W   10.7N 113.1W   11.4N 114.8W   11.9N 116.8W
BAMD    10.0N 111.5W   10.8N 112.7W   11.6N 114.0W   12.7N 115.2W
BAMM    10.0N 111.5W   10.7N 113.0W   11.5N 114.5W   12.2N 116.0W
LBAR    10.0N 111.5W   11.1N 113.0W   12.5N 114.8W   13.8N 116.7W
SHIP        35KTS          39KTS          46KTS          45KTS
DSHP        35KTS          39KTS          46KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130519  1800   130520  1800   130521  1800   130522  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.4N 118.8W   13.3N 122.0W   13.9N 124.8W   14.2N 127.6W
BAMD    14.2N 116.1W   17.4N 116.4W   18.3N 115.6W   17.9N 116.0W
BAMM    12.9N 117.4W   14.1N 119.5W   14.7N 121.8W   15.1N 124.5W
LBAR    15.0N 118.5W   17.7N 120.8W   20.7N 121.4W   23.1N 119.9W
SHIP        40KTS          27KTS          18KTS          21KTS
DSHP        40KTS          27KTS          18KTS          21KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.0N LONCUR = 111.5W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =   9.3N LONM12 = 108.8W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =   8.9N LONM24 = 106.5W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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