000
WHXX01 KMIA 170036
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0036 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130517 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130517  0000   130517  1200   130518  0000   130518  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.6N 110.1W   10.5N 112.1W   11.1N 113.9W   11.7N 115.8W
BAMD     9.6N 110.1W   10.2N 111.2W   11.0N 112.5W   12.0N 113.8W
BAMM     9.6N 110.1W   10.0N 111.6W   10.6N 113.1W   11.2N 114.6W
LBAR     9.6N 110.1W   10.3N 111.8W   11.4N 113.7W   12.7N 115.8W
SHIP        35KTS          33KTS          38KTS          41KTS
DSHP        35KTS          33KTS          38KTS          41KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130519  0000   130520  0000   130521  0000   130522  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.1N 117.7W   12.5N 121.1W   12.6N 123.7W   12.7N 126.1W
BAMD    13.2N 115.3W   16.5N 117.0W   19.8N 116.6W   20.2N 116.5W
BAMM    11.9N 116.0W   13.3N 118.7W   14.5N 120.6W   14.9N 122.8W
LBAR    14.1N 117.8W   17.0N 120.6W   21.2N 121.7W   23.7N 121.2W
SHIP        41KTS          31KTS          16KTS           0KTS
DSHP        41KTS          31KTS          16KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.6N LONCUR = 110.1W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =   9.1N LONM12 = 107.4W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =   8.7N LONM24 = 105.7W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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