000
WHXX01 KMIA 161841
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1841 UTC THU MAY 16 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130516 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130516  1800   130517  0600   130517  1800   130518  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.4N 108.7W   10.1N 111.0W   10.8N 112.9W   11.2N 114.8W
BAMD     9.4N 108.7W    9.8N 109.7W   10.3N 111.0W   11.1N 112.3W
BAMM     9.4N 108.7W    9.6N 110.1W    9.9N 111.7W   10.4N 113.2W
LBAR     9.4N 108.7W   10.1N 110.3W   11.0N 112.1W   12.3N 114.2W
SHIP        40KTS          37KTS          36KTS          40KTS
DSHP        40KTS          37KTS          36KTS          40KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130518  1800   130519  1800   130520  1800   130521  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.4N 116.6W   11.0N 120.0W   10.7N 122.2W   10.5N 123.5W
BAMD    12.0N 113.8W   14.5N 116.8W   17.1N 118.2W   18.0N 119.2W
BAMM    11.0N 114.8W   12.4N 117.7W   13.6N 119.8W   14.2N 121.7W
LBAR    13.5N 116.3W   15.8N 119.4W   20.5N 120.9W   23.6N 120.6W
SHIP        40KTS          38KTS          23KTS          16KTS
DSHP        40KTS          38KTS          23KTS          16KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.4N LONCUR = 108.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =   8.9N LONM12 = 106.5W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =   8.5N LONM24 = 104.8W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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