000
WHXX01 KMIA 161246
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1246 UTC THU MAY 16 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130516 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130516  1200   130517  0000   130517  1200   130518  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.2N 107.3W    9.8N 109.8W   10.4N 111.8W   10.7N 113.5W
BAMD     9.2N 107.3W    9.6N 108.5W   10.0N 109.7W   10.7N 111.1W
BAMM     9.2N 107.3W    9.4N 108.8W    9.6N 110.3W   10.0N 111.8W
LBAR     9.2N 107.3W    9.9N 108.6W   10.7N 110.3W   11.7N 112.4W
SHIP        45KTS          45KTS          46KTS          48KTS
DSHP        45KTS          45KTS          46KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130518  1200   130519  1200   130520  1200   130521  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.8N 115.2W   10.5N 118.5W    9.9N 120.8W    9.3N 121.8W
BAMD    11.4N 112.5W   13.1N 115.1W   15.3N 116.8W   16.7N 118.0W
BAMM    10.4N 113.3W   11.2N 115.9W   12.2N 117.8W   12.9N 118.9W
LBAR    12.9N 114.5W   15.1N 117.8W   19.1N 119.7W   23.1N 119.5W
SHIP        51KTS          41KTS          28KTS          16KTS
DSHP        51KTS          41KTS          28KTS          16KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.2N LONCUR = 107.3W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =   8.7N LONM12 = 105.8W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =   8.1N LONM24 = 103.6W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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