000
WHXX01 KMIA 160702
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0702 UTC THU MAY 16 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130516 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130516  0600   130516  1800   130517  0600   130517  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     8.9N 106.5W    9.4N 108.9W    9.8N 111.0W   10.1N 112.6W
BAMD     8.9N 106.5W    9.2N 107.8W    9.5N 109.0W   10.0N 110.2W
BAMM     8.9N 106.5W    9.1N 108.1W    9.3N 109.4W    9.6N 110.7W
LBAR     8.9N 106.5W    9.4N 107.9W   10.3N 109.8W   11.3N 112.0W
SHIP        45KTS          50KTS          55KTS          56KTS
DSHP        45KTS          50KTS          55KTS          56KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130518  0600   130519  0600   130520  0600   130521  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.1N 114.1W    9.7N 117.0W    9.1N 119.0W    8.6N 119.6W
BAMD    10.6N 111.5W   11.8N 114.3W   13.4N 116.2W   15.1N 116.8W
BAMM    10.0N 111.9W   10.7N 114.3W   11.9N 115.8W   13.7N 115.7W
LBAR    12.4N 114.1W   14.8N 117.7W   17.1N 119.4W   23.7N 118.6W
SHIP        60KTS          55KTS          33KTS          18KTS
DSHP        60KTS          55KTS          33KTS          18KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   8.9N LONCUR = 106.5W DIRCUR = 286DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =   8.5N LONM12 = 104.8W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   7.8N LONM24 = 102.3W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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