000
WHXX01 KMIA 160206
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0206 UTC THU MAY 16 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130516 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130516  0000   130516  1200   130517  0000   130517  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     8.8N 105.5W    9.4N 107.9W    9.8N 109.9W   10.2N 111.6W
BAMD     8.8N 105.5W    9.2N 107.0W    9.6N 108.2W    9.9N 109.3W
BAMM     8.8N 105.5W    9.1N 107.2W    9.4N 108.5W    9.7N 109.6W
LBAR     8.8N 105.5W    9.4N 107.4W   10.2N 109.5W   11.2N 111.8W
SHIP        40KTS          48KTS          54KTS          62KTS
DSHP        40KTS          48KTS          54KTS          62KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130518  0000   130519  0000   130520  0000   130521  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.4N 112.9W   10.2N 115.2W   10.0N 116.8W    9.9N 117.5W
BAMD    10.5N 110.5W   11.9N 112.7W   14.0N 113.9W   17.3N 113.6W
BAMM    10.2N 110.6W   11.5N 112.4W   13.5N 113.5W   16.3N 113.0W
LBAR    12.4N 114.0W   15.7N 117.2W   21.1N 117.8W   25.5N 114.7W
SHIP        69KTS          66KTS          47KTS          28KTS
DSHP        69KTS          66KTS          47KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   8.8N LONCUR = 105.5W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =   8.1N LONM12 = 103.5W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =   7.6N LONM24 = 101.0W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   20NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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