000
WHXX01 KMIA 152142
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2142 UTC WED MAY 15 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130515 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130515  1800   130516  0600   130516  1800   130517  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     8.5N 104.6W    9.2N 107.1W    9.6N 109.2W    9.9N 110.9W
BAMD     8.5N 104.6W    8.8N 106.1W    9.1N 107.4W    9.6N 108.4W
BAMM     8.5N 104.6W    8.8N 106.3W    9.2N 107.8W    9.6N 108.8W
LBAR     8.5N 104.6W    9.0N 106.5W    9.6N 108.7W   10.4N 111.1W
SHIP        35KTS          43KTS          53KTS          64KTS
DSHP        35KTS          43KTS          53KTS          64KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130517  1800   130518  1800   130519  1800   130520  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.2N 112.2W   10.4N 114.2W   10.4N 115.5W   11.2N 115.3W
BAMD    10.1N 109.4W   11.8N 111.6W   14.2N 113.3W   18.3N 113.3W
BAMM    10.0N 109.9W   11.5N 112.1W   13.2N 113.7W   16.2N 113.6W
LBAR    11.3N 113.5W   14.2N 117.3W   18.4N 118.7W   24.1N 119.2W
SHIP        72KTS          79KTS          63KTS          41KTS
DSHP        72KTS          79KTS          63KTS          41KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   8.5N LONCUR = 104.6W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =   7.8N LONM12 = 102.3W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =   7.4N LONM24 =  99.8W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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