000
WTNT80 EGRR 010600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.11.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ROSA       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 118.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.11.2012  14.2N 118.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.11.2012  14.2N 118.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.11.2012  13.7N 119.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2012  13.3N 119.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.11.2012  12.8N 119.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2012  12.5N 120.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2012  12.6N 120.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2012  12.7N 120.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2012  13.5N 121.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2012  14.2N 121.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.11.2012  14.9N 122.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2012  15.7N 122.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.11.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.2N 110.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.11.2012  14.2N 110.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.11.2012  14.5N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2012  14.0N 110.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.11.2012  14.3N 109.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2012  14.4N 109.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2012  15.3N 108.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2012  16.5N 107.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2012  17.4N 107.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2012  17.9N 108.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.11.2012  18.2N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2012  19.0N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2012  18.8N 109.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010439