000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.10.2012

 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY      ANALYSED POSITION : 39.5N  74.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2012  39.5N  74.7W   INTENSE
 12UTC 30.10.2012  40.1N  77.8W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 31.10.2012  40.4N  78.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 31.10.2012  42.3N  79.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 01.11.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.8N 114.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2012  14.8N 114.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.10.2012  15.2N 114.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2012  15.3N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2012  15.1N 116.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2012  15.1N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2012  15.7N 117.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2012  14.3N 116.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2012  14.2N 116.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2012  13.7N 116.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2012  12.8N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2012  12.8N 118.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2012  13.1N 118.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2012  13.5N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 15.0N 106.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.10.2012  15.0N 106.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.10.2012  15.4N 107.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2012  15.7N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2012  15.8N 107.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2012  15.5N 108.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2012  15.5N 108.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2012  14.9N 108.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2012  14.8N 107.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2012  15.1N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2012  16.5N 106.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2012  17.6N 106.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2012  17.9N 107.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300542