000 WHXX01 KWBC 171857 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1857 UTC WED OCT 17 2012 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121017 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 121017 1800 121018 0600 121018 1800 121019 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 38.8N 58.0W 41.8N 52.1W 44.2N 42.7W 45.3N 32.8W BAMD 38.8N 58.0W 43.7N 50.6W 47.8N 40.6W 50.1N 31.5W BAMM 38.8N 58.0W 42.5N 51.2W 45.6N 41.7W 47.0N 32.0W LBAR 38.8N 58.0W 43.3N 52.2W 47.1N 43.2W 48.2N 32.3W SHIP 65KTS 56KTS 45KTS 37KTS DSHP 65KTS 56KTS 45KTS 37KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 121019 1800 121020 1800 121021 1800 121022 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 45.2N 24.9W 48.7N 16.9W 54.4N 21.1W 55.1N 29.9W BAMD 51.4N 25.6W 55.3N 24.0W 56.8N 31.1W 54.3N 37.5W BAMM 47.0N 24.5W 50.8N 16.6W 57.5N 20.2W 58.8N 26.2W LBAR .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 33KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 33KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 38.8N LONCUR = 58.0W DIRCUR = 30DEG SPDCUR = 29KT LATM12 = 34.0N LONM12 = 61.7W DIRM12 = 26DEG SPDM12 = 27KT LATM24 = 29.5N LONM24 = 64.2W WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 70KT CENPRS = 972MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 270NM RD34SE = 270NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 170NM $$ NNNN