000
WTNT80 EGRR 171800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.10.2012

        TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL    ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N 113.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2012  26.2N 113.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.10.2012  26.7N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2012  27.2N 124.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 36.6N  60.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2012  36.6N  60.3W   INTENSE
 00UTC 18.10.2012  40.9N  55.3W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.10.2012  44.8N  46.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.10.2012  48.4N  36.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.10.2012   EXTRA-TROPICAL



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171646