000
WHXX01 KMIA 161832
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1832 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121016 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121016  1800   121017  0600   121017  1800   121018  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.3N 112.2W   25.8N 112.6W   27.2N 112.7W   28.3N 113.1W
BAMD    24.3N 112.2W   27.5N 111.9W   29.4N 111.2W   30.3N 108.7W
BAMM    24.3N 112.2W   26.7N 112.5W   28.2N 113.4W   29.2N 114.6W
LBAR    24.3N 112.2W   26.7N 111.1W   28.1N 109.5W   28.4N 106.3W
SHIP        70KTS          52KTS          38KTS          21KTS
DSHP        70KTS          47KTS          37KTS          28KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121018  1800   121019  1800   121020  1800   121021  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.3N 113.5W   30.6N 114.6W   32.5N 114.6W   35.3N 111.6W
BAMD    29.4N 103.8W   24.9N  94.1W   22.0N  88.3W   21.2N  87.8W
BAMM    30.3N 116.1W   32.7N 120.4W   32.5N 123.3W   29.1N 121.2W
LBAR    28.3N 101.2W   30.8N  87.3W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  24.3N LONCUR = 112.2W DIRCUR =   5DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  21.0N LONM12 = 113.1W DIRM12 =  22DEG SPDM12 =  19KT
LATM24 =  17.8N LONM24 = 114.4W
WNDCUR =   70KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   95KT
CENPRS =  980MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  300NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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