000
WHXX01 KWBC 161807
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1807 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121016 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121016  1800   121017  0600   121017  1800   121018  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.5N  64.4W   31.9N  63.1W   33.7N  59.7W   35.0N  55.6W
BAMD    29.5N  64.4W   33.9N  62.8W   37.9N  59.7W   41.7N  52.8W
BAMM    29.5N  64.4W   32.6N  62.5W   35.5N  59.3W   37.8N  53.9W
LBAR    29.5N  64.4W   33.5N  62.2W   38.1N  58.8W   42.8N  52.9W
SHIP        75KTS          72KTS          72KTS          65KTS
DSHP        75KTS          72KTS          72KTS          65KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121018  1800   121019  1800   121020  1800   121021  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    36.2N  52.6W   37.0N  48.8W   34.8N  47.8W   32.7N  48.3W
BAMD    44.4N  41.0W   43.5N  19.8W   41.6N  10.6W   47.1N   8.2W
BAMM    39.4N  47.3W   38.6N  31.3W   37.2N  17.1W   40.6N  10.2W
LBAR    46.1N  41.9W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        54KTS          48KTS          34KTS          24KTS
DSHP        54KTS          48KTS          34KTS          24KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  29.5N LONCUR =  64.4W DIRCUR =  15DEG SPDCUR =  20KT
LATM12 =  25.9N LONM12 =  65.3W DIRM12 =  12DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  23.6N LONM24 =  65.8W
WNDCUR =   75KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  969MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  275NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  180NM RD34SE =  180NM RD34SW =  100NM RD34NW = 120NM
 
$$
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