000
WHXX01 KWBC 161410
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1410 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121016 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121016  1200   121017  0000   121017  1200   121018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.6N  64.9W   30.0N  63.7W   32.3N  60.8W   34.0N  56.8W
BAMD    27.6N  64.9W   31.9N  63.1W   36.4N  60.3W   40.6N  54.8W
BAMM    27.6N  64.9W   30.8N  63.2W   33.9N  60.3W   36.7N  55.8W
LBAR    27.6N  64.9W   31.3N  63.3W   35.5N  60.8W   40.3N  56.4W
SHIP        80KTS          77KTS          75KTS          71KTS
DSHP        80KTS          77KTS          75KTS          71KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121018  1200   121019  1200   121020  1200   121021  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    35.4N  54.0W   37.7N  49.8W   35.9N  46.5W   32.7N  45.9W
BAMD    43.9N  44.8W   43.0N  23.1W   35.2N  12.9W   33.0N   2.4W
BAMM    38.6N  50.2W   39.5N  36.4W   37.9N  20.5W   41.8N  11.4W
LBAR    44.4N  47.6W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        58KTS          49KTS          42KTS          25KTS
DSHP        58KTS          49KTS          42KTS          25KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  27.6N LONCUR =  64.9W DIRCUR =  10DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  24.6N LONM12 =  65.6W DIRM12 =  11DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  22.6N LONM24 =  65.6W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  970MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  275NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  180NM RD34SE =  180NM RD34SW =   90NM RD34NW = 130NM
 
$$
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