000 WHXX01 KMIA 160637 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0637 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121016 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 121016 0600 121016 1800 121017 0600 121017 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.0N 113.1W 22.3N 113.5W 23.6N 113.4W 25.2N 113.1W BAMD 21.0N 113.1W 24.6N 112.9W 27.4N 112.9W 29.3N 113.0W BAMM 21.0N 113.1W 24.0N 112.7W 26.3N 112.8W 28.0N 113.6W LBAR 21.0N 113.1W 24.0N 111.8W 26.4N 109.9W 27.6N 106.3W SHIP 95KTS 79KTS 62KTS 50KTS DSHP 95KTS 79KTS 62KTS 41KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 121018 0600 121019 0600 121020 0600 121021 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 26.6N 113.2W 28.8N 114.1W 30.6N 115.0W 32.7N 113.8W BAMD 30.7N 111.9W 29.5N 104.5W 25.0N 98.0W 21.2N 97.2W BAMM 29.2N 114.7W 31.7N 117.5W 33.3N 120.1W 32.8N 119.9W LBAR 28.2N 101.3W 30.5N 89.0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 35KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 33KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.0N LONCUR = 113.1W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 17KT LATM12 = 17.8N LONM12 = 114.4W DIRM12 = 19DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 15.8N LONM24 = 115.0W WNDCUR = 95KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 967MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 50NM $$ NNNN